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10 essays.

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Credentialing and Learning Have Quietly Become Two Different Products
1 min read

The thing that gets you hired and the thing that actually teaches you are separating faster than most institutions have adapted to.

Dunbar's Number: The Limit Is Attention, Not Memory
9 min read

You can recognise thousands of faces and actively maintain far fewer relationships. The famous figure of 150 is contested — the underlying constraint is not.

Remote Work Didn't Change Where People Work — It Changed Who They're Competing Against
1 min read

The moment a job can be done from anywhere, the candidate pool for it stops being local and starts being global.

The 15-Minute City Is an Old Idea Wearing a New Name
2 min read

Most of human urban history was built around a 15-minute radius. The last century of car-centric planning was the actual anomaly.

The Overton Window: The Difference Between Wrong and Unsayable
10 min read

Ideas that are ordinary today were once outside the range of what a respectable person said aloud. Mostly the facts didn't change — the boundary of the sayable did, and it moves by repetition.

The State Where Everyone Is Stuck, and Nobody Can Do Better Alone
1 min read

A Nash equilibrium isn't necessarily a good outcome. It's just a stable one — which is a very different thing.

The Tragedy of the Commons: When Restraint Is Punished
10 min read

Every herder who adds a cow to the shared pasture captures the whole benefit and pays a twentieth of the cost. Nobody is greedy, everyone is correct, and the pasture dies anyway.

Two Rational People Can Cooperate Perfectly and Still Both Lose
2 min read

The prisoner's dilemma isn't really about prisoners. It's about why individually rational choices can add up to a collectively terrible outcome.

Why Rising Powers and Ruling Powers Struggle to Coexist Peacefully
1 min read

Across centuries of recorded history, a rising power challenging an established one has resolved peacefully far less often than most people assume.

Zero-Sum and Positive-Sum: Two Very Different Games
10 min read

Two children share one cake and one child's gain is the other's loss. Two neighbours swap mangoes for apples and both end up better off, with no new fruit. Telling these apart changes what you should do.