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Political Systems

The Overton Window: The Difference Between Wrong and Unsayable

July 25, 2026·9 min read

Ideas that are ordinary today were once outside the range of what a respectable person said aloud. Mostly the facts didn't change — the boundary of the sayable did, and it moves by repetition.

The Thucydides Trap: When Rising and Established Powers Meet

July 24, 2026·8 min read

A rising power wants influence matching its strength; an established one sees each concession as erosion. Both are sincere, neither needs to want conflict, and the pressure builds anyway.

Regulation: Rules Can Only Describe What Already Happened

July 24, 2026·9 min read

A rule needs a harm that is noticed, documented, understood, and politically salient. All four take years, while products change in months — and that gap explains most of the field.